METEO7ISLAS - FORO CANARIO DE METEOROLOGIA
FOROS DEBATE => Seguimiento General => Méteo tropical y tiempo severo => Mensaje iniciado por: deltaforce en Octubre 19, 2009, 18:20:11
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Tracking Info For Tropical Storm Neki
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
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21 GMT 10/18/09 8.6N 154.7W 30 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 10/19/09 8.8N 157.3W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 10/19/09 8.9N 158.9W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 10/19/09 9.5N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
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comenzó en el pacifico este como 94E ---traspasó la linea de cambio horario 140W y con ello fue asignada Invest 96C ...convirtiendose ahora en TT Neki ( 03C )..probablemente le cambiaran el nombre oficial de nuevo cuando entre en aguas del pacifico oeste tras la linea 180W
35kts-1006mb a las 0h19 de hoy
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1739750011.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1739750011.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1013236498.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1013236498.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1550947433.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1550947433.html)
(http://img15.imageshack.us/img15/330/cp200903satneki.jpg) (http://img15.imageshack.us/i/cp200903satneki.jpg/)
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Neki aun continua siendo una pequeña TS... aunque se espera que pronto gane algo de fuerza -w-
(http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/cp200903_model_intensity.gif)
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Parece que empieza a organizarse mejor -ll-
(http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/products/4KMIRIMG/2009CP03_4KMIRIMG_200910201130.GIF)
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-j-
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
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21 GMT 10/18/09 8.6N 154.7W 30 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 10/19/09 8.8N 157.3W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 10/19/09 8.9N 158.9W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 10/19/09 9.5N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/19/09 10.7N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/20/09 11.6N 161.0W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 10/20/09 12.4N 162.3W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
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NEKI mantiene vientos de 40Kts y se prevee un reforzamiento que seguramente le lleve a huracán categoria 1.
Dvorak le otorga vientos máximos de 51Kts y 996Mb de presión.
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 20 OCT 2009 Time : 123000 UTC
Lat : 12:57:44 N Lon : 162:57:28 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.3 / 996.4mb/ 51.0kt
Se mueve en dirección NW
Luego pongo imágenes.
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Dejo imágenes
(http://img39.imageshack.us/img39/1967/imagegk.gif)
(http://img137.imageshack.us/img137/3535/image2w.gif)
Como ven, pasará cerca de las islas Hawai, al SW de éstas. Todos los modelos apuesta a que siga dirección NW.
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A punto de ser huracan:
CP, 03, 2009102012,, MEJOR, 0, 128N, 1628W, 55, 1003, TS
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55kts y 1003 mb
(http://img23.imageshack.us/img23/1453/200910201730goes11xvis1.jpg) (http://www.imagehosting.com/)
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Trayectorias e intensidad:
(http://img23.imageshack.us/img23/8846/cp200903model.gif) (http://www.imagehosting.com/)
(http://img9.imageshack.us/img9/4461/cp200903modelintensity.gif) (http://www.imagehosting.com/)
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55kts-1003mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1587081825.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1587081825.html)
(http://img11.imageshack.us/img11/7586/200903cnekitrack.png) (http://img11.imageshack.us/i/200903cnekitrack.png/)
(http://img11.imageshack.us/img11/1189/epsstneki.gif) (http://img11.imageshack.us/i/epsstneki.gif/)
(http://img2.imageshack.us/img2/5883/gifsby12hr03neki.gif) (http://img2.imageshack.us/i/gifsby12hr03neki.gif/)
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.-b
(http://img62.imageshack.us/img62/5042/gtwosatlg.gif) (http://img62.imageshack.us/i/gtwosatlg.gif/)
The Central Pacific Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on intensifying Tropical Storm Neki, located about 640 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii and about 380 miles east southeast of Johnston island.
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ya tiene pinta de algo serio..a punto de ser cat 1 ..60kts-1000mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1283549316.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1283549316.html)
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Ultimas imagenes sat
(http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/products/1KMSRVIS/2009CP03_1KMSRVIS_200910202330.GIF)
(http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/products/4KMIRIMG/2009CP03_4KMIRIMG_200910202330.GIF)
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Intensidad
(http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/cp200903_model_intensity.gif)
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NEKI se convierte en huracán categoría 1 con vientos de 75Kts.
Dejo imagen y DVORAK
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 21 OCT 2009 Time : 113000 UTC
Lat : 16:28:59 N Lon : 166:30:39 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.2 / 986.1mb/ 69.8kt
(http://img44.imageshack.us/img44/4424/imagekq.gif)
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.-b 90kts-975mb ya tiene ojo
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1604825355.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1604825355.html)
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.-b
(http://img36.imageshack.us/img36/9049/gifsby12hr04neki.gif) (http://img36.imageshack.us/i/gifsby12hr04neki.gif/)
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se espera que se reforzará más y con esa trayectoria llegará por lo menos hasta alasca -w- ..hecho trizas,claro -w-
(http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/5166/200903cneki.png) (http://img132.imageshack.us/i/200903cneki.png/)
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-w-
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
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21 GMT 10/18/09 8.6N 154.7W 30 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 10/19/09 8.8N 157.3W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 10/19/09 8.9N 158.9W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 10/19/09 9.5N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/19/09 10.7N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/20/09 11.6N 161.0W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 10/20/09 12.4N 162.3W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 10/20/09 13.3N 163.3W 65 1003 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/20/09 14.4N 164.0W 70 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/21/09 15.5N 165.2W 75 992 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/21/09 16.3N 166.0W 85 985 Category 1 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/21/09 17.0N 166.6W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
21 GMT 10/21/09 18.0N 166.8W 115 960 Category 3 Hurricane
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100 kt - 960 mb
(http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/products/1KMSRVIS/2009CP03_1KMSRVIS_200910212300.GIF)
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105kts - 956mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1075770961.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1075770961.html)
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-i-
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
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21 GMT 10/18/09 8.6N 154.7W 30 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 10/19/09 8.8N 157.3W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 10/19/09 8.9N 158.9W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 10/19/09 9.5N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/19/09 10.7N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/20/09 11.6N 161.0W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 10/20/09 12.4N 162.3W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 10/20/09 13.3N 163.3W 65 1003 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/20/09 14.4N 164.0W 70 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/21/09 15.5N 165.2W 75 992 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/21/09 16.3N 166.0W 85 985 Category 1 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/21/09 17.0N 166.6W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
21 GMT 10/21/09 18.0N 166.8W 115 960 Category 3 Hurricane
03 GMT 10/22/09 18.7N 166.7W 120 956 Category 3 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/22/09 19.7N 166.5W 120 960 Category 3 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/22/09 20.4N 166.0W 115 965 Category 3 Hurricane
21 GMT 10/22/09 20.8N 166.3W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
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Neki comienza su debilitamiento...
970 mb
(http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/products/1KMSRVIS/2009CP03_1KMSRVIS_200910222200.GIF)
Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 22/2100z 20.8n 166.3w 90 kt
12hr VT 23/0600z 21.8n 166.1w 85 kt
24hr VT 23/1800z 23.4n 165.7w 80 kt
36hr VT 24/0600z 25.0n 164.8w 75 kt
48hr VT 24/1800z 27.0n 163.6w 65 kt
72hr VT 25/1800z 31.0n 160.7w 55 kt
96hr VT 26/1800z 35.6n 156.8w 40 kt
120hr VT 27/1800z 40.9n 151.9w 30 kt...extratropical
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60kts-990mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1144912121.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1144912121.html)
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.-b
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1684621603.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1684621603.html)
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Tracking Info For Tropical Storm Neki
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GMT 10/18/09 8.6N 154.7W 30 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 10/19/09 8.8N 157.3W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 10/19/09 8.9N 158.9W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 10/19/09 9.5N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/19/09 10.7N 159.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/20/09 11.6N 161.0W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 10/20/09 12.4N 162.3W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 10/20/09 13.3N 163.3W 65 1003 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/20/09 14.4N 164.0W 70 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/21/09 15.5N 165.2W 75 992 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/21/09 16.3N 166.0W 85 985 Category 1 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/21/09 17.0N 166.6W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
21 GMT 10/21/09 18.0N 166.8W 115 960 Category 3 Hurricane
03 GMT 10/22/09 18.7N 166.7W 120 956 Category 3 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/22/09 19.7N 166.5W 120 960 Category 3 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/22/09 20.4N 166.0W 115 965 Category 3 Hurricane
21 GMT 10/22/09 20.8N 166.3W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
03 GMT 10/23/09 22.1N 166.0W 100 975 Category 2 Hurricane
09 GMT 10/23/09 22.3N 165.9W 90 980 Category 1 Hurricane
15 GMT 10/23/09 22.8N 165.6W 70 995 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 10/23/09 23.1N 165.3W 65 998 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 10/24/09 23.4N 165.2W 65 998 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 10/24/09 23.8N 164.9W 65 999 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 10/24/09 24.3N 164.2W 60 1001 Tropical Storm
50kts-1001mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1679822642.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1679822642.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1932432699.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1932432699.html)
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.-b
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1296920130.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1296920130.html)
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45kts-1003mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1308239091.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1308239091.html)
(http://img509.imageshack.us/img509/330/cp200903satneki.jpg) (http://img509.imageshack.us/i/cp200903satneki.jpg/)
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At 5:00 AM HST, the center of Tropical Storm Neki was located at 26.8N 164.9W.
795 miles NW of Hilo
745 miles NW of Kailua-Kona
800 miles NW of South Point
675 miles NW of Kahului
625 miles NW of Kaunakakai
655 miles NW of Lanai City
580 miles NW of Honolulu
490 miles NW of Lihue
455 miles NW of Niihau
35kts-1009mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1008558640.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1008558640.html)
(http://img291.imageshack.us/img291/2586/gtwosatlg97.gif) (http://img291.imageshack.us/i/gtwosatlg97.gif/)
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La cizalla lo esta matando .-b
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-i- pues si
30kts-1010mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1518970970.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1518970970.html)