Tormenta Tropical CINDY - 99L - Atlantico - E-NE de Bermudas

[deltaforce]

  otra que investigan en el atlantico...al E de BRET .....se irá hacia el N - NE y se morirá sobre agua frias ...salvo sorpresas  

25kts-1013mb



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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BRET...LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST
OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH TOWARD COOLER WATER.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

 

[R.E.M]

ACCA62 TJSJ 200546
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE JULIO DE 2011

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET...LOCALIZADO CERCA DE 320 MILLAS AL SUROESTE
DE CAPE HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

UNA AREA ALONGADA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADO A CERCA DE 300 MILLAS
ESTE DE BERMUDA CONTINUA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS
DESORGANIZADAS. ES POSIBLE QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE DESARROLLE UN POCO
DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS ANTES DE QUE SE MUEVA HACIA AGUAS MAS
FRIAS. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA PROBABILIDAD MEDIANA...30
PORCIENTO...DE CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL O SUBTROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 20 MPH.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR CANGIALOSI

[R.E.M]

joooer con la 99 L el NHC le da un 90%de posibilidades de desarrollo al sistema y eso que se encuentra sobre aguas no tropicales 



000
ACCA62 TJSJ 201755
TWOSPN

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 PM EDT MIERCOLES 20 DE JULIO DE 2011

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS SOBRE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET...LOCALIZADO CERCA DE 255 MILLAS AL SUR
SURESTE DE CAPE HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

IMAGENES DE SATELITE INDICAN QUE LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS ASOCIADA
CON EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION CERCA DE 550 MILLAS AL ESTE NORESTE DE
BERMUDA CONTINUA ORGANIZANDOSE MEJOR...Y LA CIRCULACION EN LOS
NIVELES BAJOS ESTA TORNANDOSE MEJOR DEFINIDA. SI LAS TENDENCIAS
CONTINUAN...ADVERTENCIAS PODRIAN INICIARSE MAS TARDE HOY. ESTE
SISTEMA TIENE UNA PROBABILIDAD ALTA...90 PORCIENTO...DE CONVERTIRSE
EN UN CICLON SUBTROPICAL O TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORESTE A ALREDEDOR DE 20 MPH.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN

[deltaforce]

30kts-1010mb



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Tracking Info For Tropical Storm Cindy

 Time             Lat   Lon   Wind(mph)  Pressure  Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GMT 07/20/11  35.2N 53.8W     40       1009     Tropical Storm

[R.E.M]

Bien por CINDY, pese al bajo SST y la cizalla lo consiguio  .:>

[deltaforce]

50kts-1002mb



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eso le pasa por correr tanto 



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Tropical Storm CINDY Public Advisory
Home   Public Adv   Fcst/Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Maps/Charts   Archive 

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032011
1100 AM AST THU JUL 21 2011

...CINDY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC...FORECAST
TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.3N 47.3W
ABOUT 1095 MI...1765 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 1115 MI...1800 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST. CINDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...CINDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY AS CINDY MOVES OVER THE
COLDER WATER OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC...AND CINDY IS FORECAST TO LOSE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

NNNN

[deltaforce]

ayer 45kts-1000mb y hoy 35kts-1005mb



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