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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF
THE LOUISIANA COAST IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS...
THUNDERSTORMS...AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND
THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.
INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.
2. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES NORTH OF BERMUDA HAS
CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING
WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND
ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM.
THE LOW IS MOVING LITTLE AT THIS TIME...BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A MEDIUM
CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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ImageShack.usELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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