RESUMEN DEL PACIFICO ESTE000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201005
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SUN JUN 20 2010
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES....
TROPICAL STORM BLAS IS CENTERED AT
17.5N 112.3W AT 0900 UTC
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. DURING THE
NIGHT CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AS THE OVERALL CYCLONE STRUCTURE
BECOMES LESS SYMMETRICAL INDICATING THAT BLAS IS UNDERGOING
WEAKENING AS CENTER APPEARS TO BE ON THE EXTREME FAR NE EDGE
OF THE CLOUD CANOPY AND CONVECTION AREA. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
CENTER IN THE SW QUADRANT. LATEST NHC GUIDANCE HAS BLAS TRACKING
IN A W TO NW COURSE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE AS
IT WEAKENS INTO A
DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM CELIA IS CENTERED AT
12.0N 99.4W AT 0900 UTC
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO
65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. CELIA HAS CHANGES LITTLE
IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST OVERNIGHT HOURS. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER
...EXCEPT 90 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT. THIS REMAINS A TIGHTLY WOUND
UP SYSTEM FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A HURRICANE LATER THIS MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON....THEN
GRADUALLY INTENSITY THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HRS....TROPICAL WAVE... A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG
85W N OF 06N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS
ON THE FAR EAST SIDE OF THE LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE THAT PREVAILS
ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA. CONVECTION IMMEDIATELY
TIED TO THE WAVE HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE NIGHT...BUT
MAY
REDEVELOP LATER TODAY. WEAK LOW PRES MAY FORM ALONG THE WAVE
AXIS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HRS OR SO.
