INVEST 90L - atlantico

[deltaforce]

     25kts-1012mb



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[deltaforce]

tenían ganas de estrenar una Invest antes de junio en el NHC,Navy,CIMSS...  



   
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXNT20 KNHC 211639
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
205 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1615 UTC...

SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR
27N72W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 30N70W. ANOTHER
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 22N74W.
MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN DONE FOR THIS FEATURE...AND THE EARLIEST
SHORT-TERM FORECAST INDICATES THAT IT WILL STAY IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT MORE OR LESS ITS SAME PRESSURE
VALUE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM 24N TO 27N
BETWEEN 69W AND 71W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
OTHER POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 24N BETWEEN 70W AND
80W...FROM 20N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W...AND TO THE NORTH
OF 27N BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 32W/33W TO THE SOUTH
OF 10N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
ITCZ.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN SURFACE TROUGH IN THE ITCZ IS ALONG 43W/44W
TO THE SOUTH OF 10N. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE ITCZ.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 55W/56W TO THE SOUTH
OF 12N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 55W AND 57W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 75W/77W TO THE SOUTH OF
12N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
IN COLOMBIA FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 74W AND 75W...AND IN THE
COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE LINE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER
OF NICARAGUA...CROSSING INTO NORTHWESTERN COSTA RICA...AND THEN
CONTINUING INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. NO PRECIPITATION THAT
IS JUST RELATED TO THIS WAVE IS DISCERNIBLE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA.





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aunque no creo que vaya más alla de una invest  

[deltaforce]

 



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    Tracking Info For Invest 90     
        
 

 Time             Lat   Lon    Wind(mph)    Pressure      Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
12 GMT 05/21/10  27.5N  72.3W     25        1013       Invest
18 GMT 05/21/10  25.1N  72.9W     25        1012       Invest

[deltaforce]

 



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[deltaforce]

25kts-1011mb - sistema extratropical



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Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXNT20 KNHC 220607
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
205 AM EDT SAT MAY 22 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC...

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AS OF 22/0300 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH IS JUST E OF THE BAHAMAS
ALONG 30N73W 25N73W 20N71W. A 1012 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE
TROUGH AXIS NEAR 25N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS AND ALONG THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA. THIS LOW IS FORECAST
TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

WHILE A NEW LOW FORMS SOME
240 NM FURTHER E. THIS NEW LOW WILL BE A DEEP LAYERED LOW WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ABOVE IT PROVIDING DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER
CENTER AND CONVECTION. THIS SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER THE
NEXT 72 HOURS AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN N OF THE
CENTER.

 GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SUNDAY 1800
UTC. THE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE N WITH TIME AS THE
LOW CENTER TRACKS N.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 34W/35W S OF 10N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT.
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO SHOW SLIGHT LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS S OF 7N AND COINCIDES WITH A RELATIVE
MAXIMUM IN THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY BETWEEN 27W-41W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 31W-41W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 58W S OF 11N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THIS
WAVE ALSO COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
AS IT MOVES OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL W ATLC AND SECTIONS OF
SURINAME AND GUYANA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 2N-9N BETWEEN 53W-60W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 11N78W TO EASTERN PANAMA NEAR
9N79W AND INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION MOVING W-NW AT 5-10 KT.
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SW
CARIBBEAN AND EVENTUALLY INLAND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS
LARGELY SOUTH OF 12N BETWEEN 73W-80W AND CONTINUES TO BE
ENHANCED BY A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM N NICARAGUA AT 13N86W TO THE E
PACIFIC REGION NEAR 6N90W MOVING W-NW AT 5-10 KT. NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE WAVE CONTINUE SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 10N-16N
BETWEEN 84W-91W. A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO
CONTRIBUTE TO SUSTAINED CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AS ENERGY FROM THE WAVE FRACTURES AND
MOVES NW.

[R.E.M]

Estos del NHC son impresentables, al primer churro cerca de sus costas  y ya tenemos un Invest  

[deltaforce]

Estos del NHC son impresentables, al primer churro cerca de sus costas  y ya tenemos un Invest  

  están igual de aburridos y ansiosos que nosotros 

[deltaforce]

25kts-1010mb ...poco a poco baja de presion ......aunque con 25kts sería ideal y más ¨normal¨ entre 1004-1007mb



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[R.E.M]

No se  lo cierto que los modelos ven desarrollo y Jeff Masters la ve como TD o TT, pero tengo mis dudas respectoa al que el NHC la nombre de entrada, como consecuencia de su genesis no tropical.





Un sistema de baja presión extratropical unos pocos cientos de kilómetros al noreste de las Bahamas (90L), Ha cambiado poco durante los días pasados. (Para aquellos de ustedes que se lo pregunte, una discusión de lo que un "Invertir" es se puede encontrar en el Preguntas de Ciclones Tropicales). Esta baja tiene el potencial de convertirse en la primera depresión de la temporada o una tormenta subtropical, y podría ser una amenaza para la costa sudeste de EE.UU. el martes o miércoles. El Modelos de barcos predice que la corte será en la alta 30 a 40 nudos rango hasta el martes, sin embargo. El corte combinado con una gran cantidad de aire seco a oeste 90L se ha visto en satélite de vapor de agua bucles obstaculizar en gran medida la transición de este sistema a una tormenta subtropical. Este sistema se espera que se mueven lentamente hacia el noroeste y luego al norte hacia la costa sudeste de EE.UU. durante los próximos tres días, y podría traer 20 - vientos de 30 mph y fuertes lluvias en la costa de Carolina del Norte la noche del martes. La mayoría de los modelos indican que el miércoles será cuando 90L más cercano a las costas, con una posición al lado de la del Norte o Carolina del Sur costa. Todos los modelos principales en la actualidad indican que 90L no tocará tierra, pero se moverá lentamente hacia el nordeste hacia el mar a finales de la próxima semana como un frente de bajas presiones en movimiento en los EE.UU. Este recoge la tormenta. Mientras la tormenta se forma inicialmente en una región de alta cizalladura del viento y estar completamente extratropical, se moverá en una región de la cizalladura del viento más baja en una brecha entre la corriente en chorro polar hacia el norte y la corriente en chorro subtropical hacia el sur para el miércoles. En ese momento, la baja se situará cerca de las aguas cálidas de la Corriente del Golfo, y tendrá la oportunidad de desarrollar un núcleo cálido poco profundo y la transición a una tormenta subtropical. El flujo hacia la izquierda del aire en torno a este reducido probablemente dará lugar a vientos de tierra sobre la región derrame de petróleo de martes a miércoles, el petróleo lejos de las costas de Alabama y el norte de la Florida, pero empujando hacia el sur del petróleo hacia la corriente de lazo. Wunderbloggers Weather456 y StormW discusiones más detalladas del potencial desarrollo de 90L.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1489

[deltaforce]

  25kts-1007mb

ja tiene pinta de boliche en forma de coma 



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