Ciclon Tropical MAGDA - 94S - S de Indonesia

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25kts-1004mb

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  puede llegar a cat2 moviendose hacia australia

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IDW24000
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 2:32 am WST on Wednesday 20 January 2010
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Tropical Low was located at 2 am WST near 12.0S 122.8E, that is 490 km west
northwest of Kalumburu  and moving south southwest at 4 kilometres per hour.
The low is expected to gradually develop and reach cyclone intensity on
Wednesday or Thursday as it moves towards the Kimberley coast.

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IDW23100
40:3:1:24:12S123E999:11:00
SECURITE

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 1831UTC 19 JANUARY 2010

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION

At 1800 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 45 nautical miles of
 latitude twelve decimal zero south (12.0S)
 longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal eight east (122.8E)

Recent movement : south southwest at 2 knots

Maximum winds   : 25 knots

Central pressure: 1002 hPa

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours.

AREA AFFECTED

Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST

Maximum winds to 25 knots near the centre increasing to 45 knots by 1800 UTC 20
January.

Winds increasing to 30/40 knots after 0600UTC 20 January within 60 nautical
miles of centre, very rough seas and low to moderate swell.

Forecast positions

At 0600 UTC 20 January:

Within 45 nautical miles of 12.4 south 122.8 east
                        Central pressure 998 hPa.
                        Winds to 30 knots near centre.

At 1800 UTC 20 January:

Within 50 nautical miles of 12.8 south 123.2 east
                        Central pressure 992 hPa.
                        Winds to 45 knots near centre.

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30kts-1000mb

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IDW24100
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued at 2:45 am WST on Thursday, 21 January 2010
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Cockatoo Island.

A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Wyndham to Kalumburu, Cockatoo
Island to Beagle Bay and adjacent inland parts of the warning area.

At 2:00 am WST Tropical Cyclone Magda, Category 1 was estimated to be
355 kilometres northwest of Kuri Bay and
370 kilometres north northwest of Cockatoo Island and
moving south southeast at 9 kilometres per hour towards the coast.

Tropical Cyclone Magda has developed off the northwest Kimberley coast and is
expected to move slowly towards the Kimberley coast and intensify during
Thursday.

 Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal
areas between Kalumburu and Cockatoo Island during Thursday evening or early
Friday morning as Magda approaches.

 Gales may extend as far east as Wyndham and
as far west as Beagle Bay during Friday depending on the movement of the system.

There is a significant risk that by Friday afternoon or evening Magda will have
intensified into a Severe Tropical Cyclone and be located close to the Kimberley
coast.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present.
Coastal communities in the Kimberley between Wyndham and Beagle Bay should
listen for the next advice.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Magda at 2:00 am WST:
.Centre located near...... 13.0 degrees South 122.5 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the south southeast at 9 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 992 hectoPascals

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    Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone Magda     
        
 

 Time             Lat   Lon    Wind(mph)   Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
18 GMT 01/20/10  13.1S 122.5E    50       Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/21/10  14.3S 123.3E    70       Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/21/10  15.1S 124.3E    70       Tropical Storm


60kts-978mb

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    Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone Magda     
        
 

 Time             Lat   Lon    Wind(mph)   Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
18 GMT 01/20/10  13.1S 122.5E    50       Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/21/10  14.3S 123.3E    70       Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/21/10  15.1S 124.3E    70       Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/22/10  16.7S 124.5E    60       Tropical Storm


ya en tierra ..40kts-993mb